Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.043717 0.050952 0.059003 0.068623 0.079807 0.092404 0.107672
2025-11-02 0.033262 0.042925 0.054800 0.070464 0.090594 0.115610 0.149097
2025-11-09 0.025516 0.035619 0.049021 0.068099 0.094580 0.130080 0.181377
2025-11-16 0.021017 0.031296 0.045818 0.067826 0.100373 0.146807 0.218255
2025-11-23 0.017664 0.027813 0.042950 0.067166 0.104991 0.161931 0.254428
2025-11-30 0.015557 0.025743 0.041686 0.068452 0.112344 0.181648 0.299794
2025-12-07 0.013472 0.023325 0.039441 0.067709 0.116167 0.196082 0.338434
2025-12-14 0.011581 0.020909 0.036799 0.065826 0.117664 0.206656 0.371751
2025-12-21 0.010024 0.018820 0.034384 0.063914 0.118709 0.216374 0.404560
2025-12-28 0.009182 0.017884 0.033843 0.065222 0.125579 0.237017 0.459538
2026-01-04 0.008327 0.016796 0.032862 0.065536 0.130567 0.254714 0.511137
2026-01-11 0.007566 0.015777 0.031864 0.065654 0.135127 0.272043 0.564098
2026-01-18 0.006967 0.015017 0.031306 0.066636 0.141667 0.294299 0.630501
2026-01-25 0.006527 0.014529 0.031234 0.068616 0.150541 0.322408 0.712960
2026-02-01 0.005760 0.013227 0.029295 0.066353 0.150076 0.331022 0.754790
2026-02-08 0.005254 0.012432 0.028335 0.066096 0.153942 0.349318 0.820360
2026-02-15 0.004778 0.011639 0.027273 0.065454 0.156830 0.365762 0.883819
2026-02-22 0.004485 0.011237 0.027043 0.066708 0.164265 0.393371 0.977044
2026-03-01 0.004095 0.010544 0.026045 0.065984 0.166863 0.410004 1.045960
2026-03-08 0.003683 0.009738 0.024671 0.064148 0.166474 0.419420 1.098197
2026-03-15 0.003315 0.008994 0.023356 0.062286 0.165768 0.427946 1.149281
2026-03-22 0.003142 0.008743 0.023255 0.063560 0.173350 0.458237 1.261276
2026-03-29 0.002938 0.008378 0.022812 0.063867 0.178403 0.482626 1.360720